Of all of the bold statements made surrounding the iPad, one of the most notable came from Shervin Pishevar at SXSW Interactive. "The laptop is the rotary phone of our generation," he quipped. This quote has been resonating with me over the last couple days as I've been thinking through what tablet computers and tablet apps mean for how we will use computers in the short months and years to come.
On the eve of securing my own iPad, I've been thinking through the types of apps I'll want to load on it for both fun and productivity. Presumably, I'll carry the iPad around more than my three year old MacBook Pro, even though that machine has my most used applications (including Microsoft Office, iWork and Adobe Creative Suite in addition to handy programs like TextWrangler and Omni Outliner). However, the iPad will fill a fundamentally different space. I imagine I'll still use the laptop for the heavy-duty work like long-form writing and building presentations, where I'll mostly use the iPad for things like email, note-taking, social networking, and perhaps video editing.
In essence, the app paradigm scaled up from a phone to a tablet takes the "computer" out of the picture. Purpose-built touch-based apps for iPhone OS, Android and other emerging platforms make both fun and producivity more accessible to the mass market of people who don't consider themselves particularly good with computers—so much so that popular tech pundit David Pogue wrote a comprehensive iPad review from both the perspective of "techies" and non-techies. Pogue says;
"The iPad is so fast and light, the multitouch screen so bright and responsive, the software so easy to navigate, that it really does qualify as a new category of gadget. Some have suggested that it might make a good goof-proof computer for technophobes, the aged and the young; they’re absolutely right."
The new touch interface, app paradigm, and end-to-end user experience that results creates a new generation of computer users who won't even realize that's what they are. Some day soon we may see the word "computer" disassociated with portable devices; people will still refer to Desktops as computers, but an iPad? "Oh, that's my tablet." The laptop may eventually fade into memory.
So now my question is this; two years from now when I had planned to replace my laptop, will I even want one?
But will you be able to develop an iPad or even iPhone app on an iPad? or an iPhone?!
I am not rushing out to buy one as it is not functional for me. I don't want to be hog-tied to the AT&T network and don't want a WiFi-only device. Remember, this is only the first version of it - I am more interested in the next couple of versions, as well as what it sparks from competition.
I agree - notebooks (I hate the term laptop) will be here for a while...
I think 2 years to "replace" laptops is a bit soon. I don't know that I think the iPad is really small enough that everyone is going to carry one everywhere, all the time. The nice part about smart phones is that they fit in your pocket. The iPad would have to either be carried in a backpack/man-bag/purse, and I don't think the US is about to put "European Man Bags" into fashion anytime soon.
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